University of Osnabrück

CeCoP - Center for the Study of Conflict & Peace

Navigation und Suche der Universität Osnabrück



Prof. Dr. rer. soc. Alexander De Juan

Fachbereich 1: Kultur- und Sozialwissenschaften
Seminarstraße 33
49074 Osnabrück

Raum: 04/218
Sprechzeiten: Mittwoch, 10-12 Uhr (Anmeldung über StudIP erforderlich)
Tel.: 4366


Sommersemester 2024

Research interests

My current research focusses on the relationship between violent conflict, state-building and development. I have a special interest in long-term processes of state formation and their effects on current socio-economic and political outcomes. In addition I also work on the internal organization and administration of state institutions - most notably repressive agencies.

Curriculum Vitae

since 2018       Professor of Comparative Politics, University of Osnabrück

2018 – 2018     Senior Research Fellow, GIGA German Institute of Global and Area Studies

2015 – 2017     Temporary Professorship, University of Konstanz

2012 – 2015     Research Fellow, GIGA German Institute of Global and Area Studies

Since 2012       Consultant in international development

2008 – 2011     Sector Economist for peace and security, KfW Development Bank

2006 – 2008     Fellow of the Postgraduate Research Program “Global Challenges”

2006 – 2009     Ph.D. studies (Dr. rer. soc.), University of Tübingen

2004 – 2006     Master of Arts, Peace and Conflict Studies, University of Tübingen

2000 – 2004     Bachelor of Arts, Socioeconomics, Universities of Lüneburg/Berlin (HU)

Publications (peer-reviewed)

2021 (with Felix Haaß and Jan Pierskalla): "The partial effectiveness of indoctrination in autocracies: Evidence from a natural experiment in the German Democratic Republic,” World Politics, 73(4), 593-628.

2021 (with Niklas Hänze): "Climate and Cohesion—The Effects of Droughts on Intra-Ethnic and Inter-Ethnic Trust," Journal of Peace Research, special issue "Security implications of climate change", 58 (1), 151-167.

2021 (with Carlo Koos): "Survey Participation Effects in Conflict Research," Journal of Peace Research, 58 (4),  623-639.

2021 (with Eva Wegner and Miquel Pellicer): "Preferences for the Scope of Protests," Political Research Quarterly, 74 (2), 288-301.

2020 (with Jan Pierskalla and Elisa Schwarz): "Natural Disasters, Aid Distribution, and Social Unrest – Micro-Level Evidence from the 2015 Earthquake in Nepal," World Development, 126, 104715.

2020 [book review, not peer reviewed]: "Undoing the Revolution: Comparing Elite Subversion of Peasant Rebellions. By Vasabjit Banerjee. Philadelphia, PA: Temple University Press, 2019," Perspectives on Politics, 18 (2), 664-665.

2020: "Heterogeneous Effects of Development Aid on Violent Unrest in Post-War Countries – Village-Level Evidence from Nepal," International Studies Quarterly, 64 (1), 168-182.

2020 (with Jan Koehler and Kristóf Gosztonyi): "Conditional Effects of Aid on Political Perceptions – Mixed Methods Evidence from North East Afghanistan," European Journal of International Relations, 26 (3), 793-819.

2020 (with Tim Wegenast): "Climate, Food Riots and Adaptation: A Long-Term Historical Analysis of England," Journal of Peace Research, 57 (2), 265-280.

2019 (with Carlo Koos): “The Historical Roots of Cooperative Behavior—Evidence from Eastern Congo,World Development, 116, 100-112.

2019 (with Eva Wegner): "Social Inequality, State-Centered Grievances, and Protest – Evidence from South Africa", Journal of Conflict Resolution, 63 (1), 31-58.

2019 (with Jan Pierskalla and Max Montgomery): “The Territorial Expansion of the Colonial State: Evidence from German East Africa 1890-1909,British Journal of Political Science, 49 (2), 711-737.

2017 “‘Traditional’ Institutions in Land Conflicts – Determinants of the Persistence of Pre-Colonial Dispute Settlement in Burundi,” Comparative Political Studies, 13, 1835-1868.

2017 (with Jan Pierskalla and Fabian Krautwald): "Constructing the State: Macro Strategies, Micro Incentives, and the Creation of Police Forces in Colonial Namibia," Politics & Society, 45 (2), 269–299.

2017 (with Jan Pierskalla): "The Comparative Politics of Colonialism and Its Legacies: An Introduction"; introduction to special issue, Politics & Society, 45 (2), 159–172.

2016 (with Jan Pierskalla): “Civil war violence and political trust: Microlevel evidence from Nepal,” Conflict Management and Peace Science, 33 (1), 67-88.

2016: "Extraction and Violent Resistance in the Early Phases of State Building - Quantitative Evidence From the “Maji Maji” Rebellion, 1905-1907", Comparative Political Studies, 49 (2), 291-323.

2016: "Auswirkungen von Gewalt auf Religion: Eine alternative Perspektive auf innerstaatlichen „religiöse Konflikte“", Zeitschrift für Friedens- und Konfliktforschung, Sonderband 1, 266-293.

2015 (with Jan Pierskalla and Johannes Vüllers): “The Pacifying Effects of Local Religious Institutions: An Analysis of Communal Violence in Indonesia,” Political Research Quarterly, 68 (2), 211-224.

2015 (with André Bank): “The Ba‘thist Blackout? Geographical Distribution of Regime Cooptation and Violence in the Syrian Civil War,” Journal of Peace Research, 52: 91–104; awarded the Nils Petter Gleditsch JPR Article of the Year Award 2015.

2015 (with Andreas Hasenclever): "Framing Political Violence: Success and Failure of Religious Mobilization in the Philippines and Thailand," Civil Wars, 17 (2), 201–221.

2015: “Long-Term Ecological Change and Geographical Patterns of Violence in Darfur, 2003–2005,” Political Geography, 45, 22–33.

2015: “Intra-Religious Conflicts in Intra-State Wars,” Terrorism and Political Violence, 27 (4), 762-780.

2015 (with Jan Pierskalla): “Manpower to Coerce and Co-opt—State Capacity and Political Violence in Southern Sudan 2006–2010,” Conflict Management and Peace Science, 32 (2), 175-199.

2013: “Devolving ethnic conflicts - The role of subgroup identities for institutional intergroup settlements,” Civil Wars, 15: 1, 78-99.

2009: “A Pact with the Devil? – Elite Alliances as Bases of Violent Religious Conflicts,” Studies in Conflict and Terrorism 31: 12, 1120-1135.

2009 (with Andreas Hasenclever): “Das Framing religiöser Konflikte – die Rolle von Eliten in religiös konnotierten Bürgerkriegen,” Politische Vierteljahresschriften (PVS) 43, 178-208.

2007 (with Andreas Hasenclever): “Grasping the Impact of Religious Traditions on Political Conflicts: Empirical Findings and Theoretical Perspectives,” Friedens-Warte, 2-3, 19-47.

Research projects

2020 – 2023 | Micro-level determinants and consequences of militia performance, German Research Council

  • Applicant and head of project; EUR 510,000
  • Research question:“What explains militia performance and how does militia performance affect state legitimacy?”
  • Methods: perception surveys, qualitative analyses in Afghanistan and Mexico

2020 – 2022 | The impact of information on aid outcomes, KfW Development Bank

  • Applicant and head of project; EUR 660,000
  • Research question: “How do information campaigns among beneficiary and non-beneficiary populations influence attitudinal effects of aid interventions?”
  • Methods: telephone surveys in conflict-affected areas of Mali and Niger, survey experiment

2018 – 2020 | The Anatomy of Repression in Authoritarian States, German Foundation for Peace Research

  • Applicant and head of project; volume: EUR 98,000
  • Analysis of personnel files of the secret service (Staatssicherheit) of the Former German Democratic Republic
  • Methods: archival data collection; quantitative analyses

2014 – 2016 | Territorial Dynamics of Colonial State-Building, Gerda Henkel Foundation

  • Applicant and head of project (with Jan Pierskalla); volume: EUR 93,000
  • Research question: “What Factors Shape Spatial Patterns of State-Building?”
  • Methods: quantitative analysis; data from two newly compiled historical datasets on former German colonies

 2016 – 2016 | Impact Evaluation - “Peace Fund”, Ministry for Economic Cooperation

  • Applicant and head of project (with Eva Wegner, Miquel Pellicer and Carlo Koos); volume: EUR 150,000
  • Impact evaluation of a EUR 50 million development project in the Democratic Republic of Congo
  • Methods: opinion survey; quasi-experiment and matching approach

2014 – 2017 | Local Conflict and the Local State, German Research Council

  • Applicant and head of project; volume: EUR 285,000
  • Research question: “What is the Role of Public Basic Service Delivery in Low-Level Violence against the State?”
  • Methods: quantitative analysis and field research in Nepal and South Africa

2014 – 2016 | From Civil War to Social Contract, Ministry for Economic Cooperation

  • Applicant and head of project; volume: EUR 199,000
  • Research question: “What are the Determinants of Political Trust in Fragile and Conflict-Affected States?”
  • Methods: opinion surveys (n>1500) and in-depth qualitative field research in Burundi, Afghanistan, and Peru

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